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Tue, 11 Feb 1997 17:59:21 -0500 |
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With the ECAC finally in the stretch run and all teams have played 16
games it's about the right time to start talking about Magic Numbers
and clinching various positions. So here's my take on the current
situation:
Through 2/8/97
Record Finish Magic Numbers
GP W-L-T Pts Max Hi Lo 1st Top4 Top6 Top8 Top10
==========================================================
1 Clarkson 16 11-5-0 22 34 || 1 9 || 15 12 7 2 ++
Cornell 16 10-4-2 22 34 || 1 10 || 15 12 7 2 ++
Rensselaer 16 10-4-2 22 34 || 1 9 || 15 12 7 2 ++
Vermont 16 10-4-2 22 34 || 1 9 || 15 12 7 2 ++
5 Princeton 16 9-6-1 19 31 || 1 12 || 18 16 10 5 3
6 Colgate 16 7-7-2 16 28 || 1 12 || 21 19 13 8 6
Harvard 16 7-7-2 16 28 || 1 12 || 21 19 13 8 6
Union 16 7-7-2 16 28 || 1 12 || 21 19 13 8 6
9 Dartmouth 16 5-10-1 11 23 || 3 12 || -- 24 18 18 11
10 St Lawrence 16 4-10-2 10 22 || 4 12 || -- 25 19 19 12
11 Yale 16 4-11-1 9 21 || 5 12 || -- -- 20 20 14
12 Brown 16 3-12-1 7 19 || 5 12 || -- -- 22 22 16
A number indicates the number of points required for the team to
clinch the indicated position. This can either be points gained
by the team or points lost by rivals. For example, Cornell needs 1 win
or one loss by Dartmouth (the 9th place team) to clinch at least an
8th place finish.
'++' indicates that the team has already clinched this position.
'--' indicates that the team cannot finish this high
Categories
1st - Regular season champion, automatic bid to the NC$$ tournament
Top4 - Home ice for quarterfinal round
Top6 - Bye for the preliminary round
Top8 - Home ice for the preliminary round
Top10 - Playoff spot.
In regards to the possible finishes, I have a couple differences from
what Jayson Moy posted a few days ago. I've considered a few crazy
scenarios which change the possible finishes a little (if I'm right
:-)) For example, Dartmouth cannot finish first. This would require
Dartmouth to win all of its remaining games and for the top 4 to lose
all of theirs. But due to meetings between these teams, the top 4
cannot all lose all of their games. These scenarios have no effect on
the magic numbers, however.
Keith Kannenberg
[log in to unmask]
Cornell '93 '96 '9?
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