I am forwarding this from HOCKEY-L to ME-HOCKEY.  This is one of those
rating programs that a fan has come up with, note how high it ranks
Maine.
 
-dt
 
 
---Eric Carlson <[log in to unmask]> wrote:
>
> The CCHP computer ratings are based on scores of games played through
> March 9 and account for the strength of each team's schedule and the
> location where each game was played. A brief explanation follows the
> ratings or follow the link there for more detailed information.
>
>                                ------- OVERALL ------- ------ HOME
----- ------ ROAD -----
>    TEAM                          OFF      DEF    TOTAL   OFF   DEF
TOTAL   OFF   DEF TOTAL SCHED
>    --------------------------- -----    -----    ----- ----- -----
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
>  1 North Dakota (27-6-1)        3.40  1  1.10  9  2.30  3.85  1.01
2.84  2.79  1.03  1.76   .25
>  2 Boston University (27-5-2)   2.35  6   .27  2  2.08  2.83   .39
2.44  1.92   .25  1.67   .10
>  3 New Hampshire (23-9-1)       2.81  2   .74  4  2.07  3.41   .69
2.72  2.25   .65  1.59   .11
>  4 Michigan State (29-5-5)      1.96 12   .00  1  1.96  1.68  -.02
1.71  2.31   .09  2.22   .18
>  5 Boston College (22-8-5)      2.66  3  1.33 14  1.33  2.34  1.09
1.25  2.95  1.38  1.57   .15
>  6 Colorado College (22-11-3)   2.64  4  1.33 13  1.31  3.33  1.87
1.46  2.12   .88  1.24   .12
>  7 Michigan (28-9-1)            2.02 11   .71  3  1.31  1.94   .32
1.63  2.05   .90  1.14   .16
>  8 Ohio State (22-11-2)         1.95 13   .92  6  1.04  1.72   .69
1.04  2.06  1.12   .94   .12
>  9 Wisconsin (22-13-1)          2.09  9  1.07  8  1.02  2.43  1.30
1.13  1.73   .67  1.06   .38
> 10 Maine (14-14-4)              2.50  5  1.61 24   .89  3.30  1.84
1.45  1.83  1.23   .60   .18
> 11 Yale (22-6-1)                1.75 22   .89  5   .85  1.87   .38
1.49  1.60  1.38   .21  -.72
> 12 Clarkson (20-7-3)            1.93 14  1.16 12   .77  2.60   .74
1.86  1.38  1.47  -.09  -.21
> 13 Miami (19-12-4)              2.08 10  1.33 15   .75  2.07   .74
1.34  1.83  2.05  -.23  -.03
> 14 Minnesota (16-20-0)          2.15  8  1.42 18   .73  2.64  1.27
1.37  1.81  1.61   .20   .63
> 15 St Cloud (19-13-2)           1.84 17  1.14 11   .70  1.65  1.35
.31  2.33   .70  1.62   .30
> 16 Minnesota-Duluth (19-15-2)   1.93 15  1.36 16   .57  2.02  1.45
.57  2.04  1.26   .78   .31
> 17 Notre Dame (17-17-4)         1.64 29  1.12 10   .52  1.09  1.13
-.04  2.21  1.25   .96   .29
> 18 Northern Michigan (17-14-4)  1.72 26  1.45 19   .26  1.91  1.55
.36  1.42  1.49  -.08   .25
> 19 Northeastern (18-13-3)       1.66 28  1.47 20   .19  1.91  1.71
.20  1.54  1.21   .33   .20
> 20 Mass Lowell (14-15-3)        1.76 21  1.65 25   .12  2.07  1.40
.67  1.60  1.72  -.13   .25
> 21 Rensselaer (17-11-4)         1.80 19  1.81 27  -.01  2.49  1.52
.97  1.15  2.20 -1.05  -.46
> 22 Lake Superior (15-16-4)      1.45 32  1.52 21  -.07  1.29  1.63
-.34  1.42  1.51  -.09   .19
> 23 Princeton (13-9-7)           1.72 25  1.90 28  -.18  1.72  1.40
.31  1.66  2.46  -.80  -.68
> 24 Providence (15-16-3)         1.37 34  1.55 22  -.18  1.55  2.03
-.48  1.25  1.12   .13   .22
> 25 Ferris State (15-19-3)       1.74 23  1.93 30  -.19  1.23  1.80
-.58  2.04  2.02   .02   .23
> 26 Dartmouth (11-13-5)          1.38 33  1.65 26  -.28   .82  2.10
-1.27  1.91  1.36   .55  -.57
> 27 Michigan Tech (16-18-3)      1.70 27  2.04 32  -.35  2.49  1.87
.62   .97  2.13 -1.15   .32
> 28 Brown (12-14-2)              1.55 31  1.91 29  -.37  1.85  1.72
.13  1.20  2.01  -.81  -.17
> 29 Mankato State (16-15-6)      1.82 18  2.22 36  -.40  2.31  2.26
.04  1.42  2.03  -.62  -.71
> 30 Harvard (11-16-2)            1.78 20  2.23 37  -.45   .99  1.81
-.82  2.29  2.58  -.30   .01
> 31 Colgate (15-13-4)            1.64 30  2.18 33  -.54  1.71  2.20
-.48  1.54  2.26  -.72  -.36
> 32 Western Michigan (10-25-3)   1.05 37  1.60 23  -.55   .50   .96
-.46  1.57  2.17  -.59   .29
> 33 Denver (11-23-2)             1.92 16  2.50 42  -.58  2.32  2.96
-.63  1.57  2.11  -.54   .43
> 34 Cornell (13-14-2)             .55 42  1.41 17  -.86   .60   .95
-.35   .57  1.91 -1.34  -.47
> 35 Merrimack (9-24-1)           2.21  7  3.15 45  -.94  2.04  3.16
-1.13  2.45  3.09  -.64   .21
> 36 Alaska-Anchorage (6-24-5)     .00 46   .94  7  -.94   .55  1.53
-.98  -.60   .29  -.89   .52
> 37 Vermont (10-18-4)             .93 38  1.98 31 -1.05   .75  2.46
-1.71  1.17  1.69  -.52  -.21
> 38 St Lawrence (9-19-2)         1.06 36  2.23 38 -1.17   .58  1.52
-.94  1.38  2.81 -1.43  -.13
> 39 Alaska-Fairbanks (10-21-4)   1.72 24  2.90 44 -1.18  1.93  1.93
.00  1.47  3.73 -2.25   .29
> 40 Bowling Green (8-27-3)       1.14 35  2.43 40 -1.30  1.56  2.55
-.99   .84  2.50 -1.66   .19
> 41 Nebraska-Omaha (12-19-3)      .80 39  2.46 41 -1.66   .84  2.57
-1.73   .68  2.32 -1.64  -.70
> 42 Niagara (14-10-3)             .55 41  2.21 35 -1.66   .84  2.09
-1.25   .43  2.34 -1.91 -1.43
> 43 Mass Amherst (6-24-3)         .71 40  2.43 39 -1.72   .99  1.84
-.85   .62  2.76 -2.14   .04
> 44 Union (6-22-4)                .44 43  2.18 34 -1.74  -.41  2.04
-2.45   .80  2.33 -1.53  -.49
> 45 Army (18-15-1)                .41 44  2.79 43 -2.38   .33  2.79
-2.46   .50  2.63 -2.13  -.75
> 46 Air Force (15-19-0)           .14 45  3.42 46 -3.28   .58  2.73
-2.15  -.26  4.01 -4.27 -1.03
>
> How to Use the CCHP Ratings
>
> It's fairly easy to use the ratings to predict how two teams might do
> against each other. Just compare the numbers in the overall TOTAL
> column. Subtract the TOTAL for the second team from the TOTAL for the
> first team to determine the predicted margin of victory in goals. In
> order to account for home ice advantage add 0.44 to the home team. You
> can also use the ratings in the HOME and ROAD columns to make a less
> conservative prediction about the game. Those columns include fewer
> games but may reflect more accurately each team's true home ice
> advantage.
>
> The predicted score for each game is almost as easy to calculate.
> Suppose Alaska Fairbanks was scheduled to play at home against Alaska
> Anchorage. To calculate the predicted score, add Alaska Fairbanks'
> offensive potential to Alaska Anchorage's defensive potential and then
> adjust for home ice advantage by adding 0.22. Then add Alaska
> Anchorage's offensive potential to Alaska Fairbanks' defensive
potential
> and subtract 0.22. The resulting numbers are the predicted score.
>
> Alaska Fairbanks 1.72 + .94 + .22 = 2.88
> Alaska Anchorage .00 + 2.90 - .22 = 2.68
>
> Alternatively, add Alaska Fairbanks' HOME offensive potential to
Alaska
> Anchorage's ROAD defensive potential. Then add Alaska Anchorage's ROAD
> offensive potential to Alaska Fairbanks' HOME defensive potential. The
> resulting numbers are a less conservative predicted score which often
> projects what might be considered an upset by a team which is
unusually
> strong at home.
>
> Alaska Fairbanks 1.93 + .29 = 2.22
> Alaska Anchorage -.60 + 1.93 = 1.33
>
> You may link to, distribute, copy, reprint or use these ratings except
> they may not be sold or used for any commercial purpose without my
> permission.
>
> CCHP ratings are updated the nights games are played at
>
> http://www2.polarnet.com/~jcarlson/uafhockey/hratings.html
>
> INFO-HOCKEY-L is for information only;  send any discussion of this
> article to [log in to unmask], The College Hockey Discussion List.
>
 
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