Heal Point System Rank for Men's Division I College Hockey, through 02/28/1999.
Compiled by Wayne T. Smith
This report includes results from 756 Division I games.
Last
Rank Week School Played Record P.I. T.I.
1 1 North Dakota 32 27- 3- 2 35.00 170.66 L30,W30
2 2 Maine 30 23- 3- 4 33.33 161.58 W32,W44
3 3 New Hampshire 32 24- 5- 3 31.88 150.24 W32
4 4 Michigan State 33 23- 3- 7 32.12 146.98 T21,W42
5 5 Boston College 34 19-11- 4 24.71 128.25 T18,L44
6 6 Clarkson 30 20- 9- 1 27.33 126.90 W38,W34
7 7 Colorado College 34 23-10- 1 27.65 126.06 W33,W33
8 8 St Lawrence 32 19-10- 3 25.63 117.88 W34,L38
9 9 Ohio State 35 19-12- 4 24.00 117.85 -
10 10 Michigan 34 19- 9- 6 25.88 115.62 W36,W36
11 15 Denver 32 18-12- 2 23.75 111.26 W28,W28
12 14 Notre Dame 33 17-11- 5 23.64 111.03 T16,W16
13 12 Quinnipiac 23 17- 4- 2 31.30 110.73 W48,W48
14 11 Princeton 27 16-10- 1 24.44 108.87 L25,W37
15 17 Rensselaer 30 20- 9- 1 27.33 106.15 W26,W22
16 16 Northern Michigan 34 18-11- 5 24.12 103.06 T12,L12
17 13 Niagara 22 9-10- 3 19.09 98.91 W43,L19,L19
18 18 Providence 33 18-14- 1 22.42 96.66 T5,W39,L39
19 25 MSU-Mankato 29 13-12- 4 20.69 93.69 W17,W17
20 20 Boston University 33 13-17- 3 17.58 93.27 W35,L35
21 21 Ferris State 32 13-13- 6 20.00 92.44 T4,L24
22 19 Colgate 30 15-11- 4 22.67 90.75 W49,L15
23 23 Connecticut 23 14- 7- 2 26.09 88.87 W43,W43
24 24 Bowling Green 32 14-15- 3 19.38 87.29 L42,W21
25 27 Vermont 29 13-14- 2 19.31 85.59 W14,L27
26 22 Cornell 27 12-12- 3 20.00 85.03 L15,W49
27 31 Yale 27 12-12- 3 20.00 83.42 W37,W25
28 26 St Cloud 32 12-15- 5 18.13 80.61 L11,L11
29 29 Minnesota 36 12-16- 8 17.78 79.78 W47,W47
30 33 Wisconsin 33 13-17- 3 17.58 79.28 W1,L1
31 30 Holy Cross 22 11- 9- 2 21.82 78.30 T--,W--
32 28 Mass Lowell 33 16-17- 0 19.39 77.88 L2,L3
33 34 Alaska-Anchorage 34 13-16- 5 18.24 71.17 L7,L7
34 32 Harvard 25 9-14- 2 16.00 69.21 L8,L6
35 37 Northeastern 32 10-19- 3 14.38 68.13 L20,W20
36 36 Miami 34 10-19- 5 14.71 66.93 L10,L10
37 35 Dartmouth 25 9-15- 1 15.20 65.87 L27,L14
38 40 Brown 27 8-14- 5 15.56 65.83 L6,W8
39 42 Mass Amherst 32 11-19- 2 15.00 62.27 L18,W18
40 39 Air Force 19 6-11- 2 14.74 62.11 W50,T50
41 41 Lake Superior 34 9-21- 4 12.94 58.26 L46,W46
42 43 Western Michigan 32 6-18- 8 12.50 58.20 W24,L4
43 38 Canisius 21 5-12- 4 13.33 54.80 L17,L23,L23
44 46 Merrimack 32 11-20- 1 14.38 54.48 W5,L2
45 44 Michigan Tech 32 9-22- 1 11.88 50.37 L--,L--
46 45 Alaska-Fairbanks 32 9-22- 1 11.88 50.26 W41,L41
47 47 Minnesota-Duluth 34 7-23- 4 10.59 43.28 L29,L29
48 48 Iona 20 8-10- 2 18.00 34.84 L13,L13
49 49 Union 30 3-24- 3 6.00 26.02 L22,L26
50 50 Army 19 2-15- 2 6.32 20.62 L40,T40
51 51 Fairfield 20 0-20- 0 1.00 0.00 L--,L--
Average ranking of each league(#teams):
This week Last week
WCHA(09): 25.67 26.22
HEA(09): 22.00 22.33
CCHA(11): 23.73 23.91
ECAC(12): 25.08 24.75
MAAC(06): 34.83 33.67
IND(04): 31.50 31.75
Average rating of each league(#teams):
This week Last week
WCHA(09): 90.21 89.87
HEA(09): 99.13 99.02
CCHA(11): 91.58 91.12
ECAC(12): 85.92 86.61
MAAC(06): 61.23 63.40
IND(04): 68.80 68.83
On kissing your sister ...
HEAL, as most rating/ranking systems treats a tie as 1/2 a loss and 1/2
a win.
Mass-Lowell and Fairfield might ask "What is a tie?" as they have yet
to experience one. Nine teams have experienced just one D-I tie. Yet
there are several teams with more than a handful of ties so far this
season.
Western Michigan (8 ties, or 25.0% of games) and Minnesota (8 ties,
22.2%) lead the NCAA D-I world, with Michigan State (7 ties, 21.2%),
Michigan (6 ties, 17.6%) and Ferris State (6 ties, 18.8%) close behind.
Except for the teams with weakest record, it would seem that the rate of
ties does not correlate with winning success. (I guess at this, not
having tried to measure it).
One might ask if league is a factor in ties. Perhaps it is. Here are
the league average rates of ties so far this season:
League % of games tied
------------+----------------
CCHA 14.8
Independent 12.1
WCHA 10.2
MAAC 9.3
ECAC 8.6
HEA 7.3
Yes, so far this season a CCHA team is twice as likely to tie as
an HEA team!
"Are tie games more probable for low-scoring teams"? "Are equally
matched teams more likely to tie"? "Do some teams have fewer or more
ties than one might mathematically predict"? HEAL doesn't help with any
of these questions. Perhaps some stats junkies can venture their
opinions.
Still, I predict very *few* ties after the games next weekend. :-)
On this ranking ...
This ranking uses games played by NCAA Division I teams eligible for
consideration to the NCAA Division I Men's Ice Hockey Championships.
Specifically excluded this season are the University of Nebraska-Omaha,
as they are in their last year as an "emerging" NCAA Division I program,
and the two Division II teams from the MAAC (Sacred Heart and American
International).
On "The Heal Point System" ...
The Heal Point System is used to rank secondary schools in Maine in
several sports. The Heal Point System was developed many years ago by
Durwood Heal to rank Maine secondary school basketball teams.
On the Maine secondary school calculation ...
"P.I." stands for "Preliminary Index". "P.I." is calculated for each
team by giving a team 40 points for each win and 20 points for each tie,
and then dividing by the number of scheduled games. Minimum "P.I." is
1.00.
"T.I." stands for "Tournament Index" and is used to rank the teams.
"T.I." is calculated for each team by summing the "P.I." of the
opponents for each win, one half the "P.I." for each tie, then dividing
by the number of games scheduled and then multiplying by 10.
Note: This Division I college hockey "Heal Point System" ranking uses
the number of games played instead of the number of games scheduled.
Since all games in Division I college hockey are normally played,
there is no difference between this and the traditional Heal Point
System at end of season and this method produces better preliminary
results.
Game scores for this ranking have been provided by US College Hockey
Online, sometimes supplemented by other sources. USCHO's composite of
all Division I men's ice hockey games is available at
http://www.uscollegehockey.com/
in the section marked schedules and then Division I composite schedule.
Copyright 1999 by Wayne T. Smith [log in to unmask]
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