I saw someone ask for the PWR using L20 instead of L16. Since mail
from maine.edu isn't getting through to me right now (admins at my ISP
and the list are working on it), I saw it in the big huge weekly file,
so I won't quote it or reply to it.
This was calculated using software I wrote myself. A word of caution -
when I checked against USCHO a week or so ago, we had a disagreement
about a couple of comparisons involving Niagara. No such disagreement
exists now, so I can only assume that my software is working right, but
there might be some minor glitches that I can't see.
On the whole, L20 has a much more settled comparison table towards the
bottom, but both tables are substatially identical at the top. Based
on an eyeball analysis, the bubble is still confusing. I narrowed it
down to four teams (Rensselaer, OSU, Notre Dame, and Princeton),
wherein RPI, Notre Dame each win two comparisons to Princeton and OSU's
one. Since Notre Dame beats RPI in their comparison, the Irish make
the field (by my analysis, anyway) instead of OSU. OSU makes out well
on L16 vs. L20 because (as I believe someone else already noted) they
didn't win all four of those games, whereas RPI and Notre Dame did.
Also note that Niagara is completely removed from any consideration by
using L20, even though their 1-2-1 mark in the games that were dropped
isn't all that bad. I think it was also noted that Denver and CC would
flip-flop, which would mean that they would have been exchanged in the
seeding.
One other interesting note - all but a handful (maybe three) of the
teams in contention for a tournament bid did better than their overall
winning percentage in the four games difference between L16 and L20.
Many did better than their L16 winning percentage. That's a very
interesting thing to note, thought I'll leave it to the powers that be
to decide its significance.
If anyone wants my full comparison output files, you are welcome to
email me - given that the mail from this list isn't getting through,
I'd recommend sending it to [log in to unmask] instead, as that may
be more reliable.
These tables are definitely best viewed in a fixed-width font.
PWR using L16 (standard, as of selection - does not include tonight's
games):
Rk Team GP W- L- T Win% Rk RPI Rk PWR
----------------------------------------------------------------
1 North Dakota 39 32- 5- 2 0.8462 1 | 0.6414 1 | 21
2 New Hampshire 38 29- 6- 3 0.8026 2 | 0.6290 2 | 20
3 Michigan State 38 26- 5- 7 0.7763 3 | 0.5967 4 | 19
4 Maine 35 25- 6- 4 0.7714 4 | 0.6093 3 | 18
5 Boston College 40 25-11- 4 0.6750 8 | 0.5931 5 | 17
6 Clarkson 36 25-10- 1 0.7083 7 | 0.5924 6 | 16
7 Colorado College 40 28-11- 1 0.7125 6 | 0.5825 7 | 15
8 Denver 38 24-12- 2 0.6579 10 | 0.5712 8 | 14
9 St Lawrence 38 23-12- 3 0.6447 12 | 0.5566 10 | 12
10 Quinnipiac 25 18- 5- 2 0.7600 5 | 0.5361 12 | 12
11 Michigan 40 24-10- 6 0.6750 8 | 0.5645 9 | 11
12 Ohio State 40 21-15- 4 0.5750 18 | 0.5306 16 | 8
13 Northern Michigan 41 22-14- 5 0.5976 17 | 0.5427 11 | 7
14 Rensselaer 37 23-12- 2 0.6486 11 | 0.5334 14 | 7
15 Princeton 34 20-12- 2 0.6176 14 | 0.5315 15 | 7
16 Notre Dame 38 19-14- 5 0.5658 19 | 0.5360 13 | 6
17 MSU-Mankato 32 14-14- 4 0.5000 22 | 0.5248 17 | 5
18 Colgate 35 19-12- 4 0.6000 16 | 0.5233 18 | 4
19 Niagara 24 11-10- 3 0.5208 21 | 0.4803 22 | 4
20 Connecticut 25 15- 8- 2 0.6400 13 | 0.5190 19 | 3
21 Holy Cross 26 15- 9- 2 0.6154 15 | 0.5094 21 | 3
22 Providence 38 20-17- 1 0.5395 20 | 0.5107 20 | 2
And here are the comparison wins:
Rk Team
--------------------
1 North Dakota -XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
2 New Hampshire -XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
3 Michigan State -XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
4 Maine -XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
5 Boston College -XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
6 Clarkson -XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
7 Colorado College -XXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
8 Denver -XXXXXXXXXXXXXX
9 St Lawrence -X XXXXXXXXXXX
10 Quinnipiac -XXXXXXXXXXXX
11 Michigan X -XXXXXXX XXX
12 Ohio State -X XXXXXXX
13 Northern Michigan -XXXXX X X
14 Rensselaer X -X XX XXX
15 Princeton X - XXXXXX
16 Notre Dame XX-XX X X
17 MSU-Mankato -XXXXX
18 Colgate -XXXX
19 Niagara X XX X -
20 Connecticut X-XX
21 Holy Cross X X X -
22 Providence X X-
And here's the result table for L20 instead:
Rk Team GP W- L- T Win% Rk RPI Rk PWR
----------------------------------------------------------------
1 North Dakota 39 32- 5- 2 0.8462 1 | 0.6414 1 | 21
2 New Hampshire 38 29- 6- 3 0.8026 2 | 0.6290 2 | 20
3 Michigan State 38 26- 5- 7 0.7763 3 | 0.5967 4 | 19
4 Maine 35 25- 6- 4 0.7714 4 | 0.6093 3 | 18
5 Boston College 40 25-11- 4 0.6750 8 | 0.5931 5 | 16
6 Clarkson 36 25-10- 1 0.7083 7 | 0.5924 6 | 16
7 Denver 38 24-12- 2 0.6579 10 | 0.5712 8 | 15
8 Colorado College 40 28-11- 1 0.7125 6 | 0.5825 7 | 14
9 Quinnipiac 25 18- 5- 2 0.7600 5 | 0.5361 12 | 14
10 Michigan 40 24-10- 6 0.6750 8 | 0.5645 9 | 12
11 St Lawrence 38 23-12- 3 0.6447 12 | 0.5566 10 | 11
12 Northern Michigan 41 22-14- 5 0.5976 17 | 0.5427 11 | 9
13 Rensselaer 37 23-12- 2 0.6486 11 | 0.5334 14 | 8
14 Ohio State 40 21-15- 4 0.5750 18 | 0.5306 16 | 8
15 Princeton 34 20-12- 2 0.6176 14 | 0.5315 15 | 7
16 Notre Dame 38 19-14- 5 0.5658 19 | 0.5360 13 | 6
17 MSU-Mankato 32 14-14- 4 0.5000 22 | 0.5248 17 | 5
18 Colgate 35 19-12- 4 0.6000 16 | 0.5233 18 | 4
19 Connecticut 25 15- 8- 2 0.6400 13 | 0.5190 19 | 3
20 Providence 38 20-17- 1 0.5395 20 | 0.5107 20 | 2
21 Holy Cross 26 15- 9- 2 0.6154 15 | 0.5094 21 | 2
22 Niagara 24 11-10- 3 0.5208 21 | 0.4803 22 | 1
And the corresponding table of comparison wins:
Rk Team
-------------------------------------------
1 North Dakota -XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
2 New Hampshire -XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
3 Michigan State -XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
4 Maine -XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
5 Boston College -XXX XXXXXXXXXXXXX
6 Clarkson -XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
7 Denver -XXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
8 Colorado College -XXXXXXXXXXXXXX
9 Quinnipiac X -XXXXXXXXXXXXX
10 Michigan -XXXXXXXXXXXX
11 St Lawrence -XXXXXXXXXXX
12 Northern Michigan -X XXXXXXXX
13 Rensselaer -XX XXXXXX
14 Ohio State X - XXXXXXX
15 Princeton X- XXXXXX
16 Notre Dame X X-XXXX
17 MSU-Mankato -XXXXX
18 Colgate -XXXX
19 Connecticut -XXX
20 Providence -XX
21 Holy Cross X -X
22 Niagara X -
--
Craig Powers NU ChE class of '98
[log in to unmask] http://lynx.neu.edu/home/httpd/c/cpowers
[log in to unmask] http://www.hal-pc.org/~enigma
"Good..bad....I'm the guy with the gun." -- "Ash" in *Army of Darkness*
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