> Date:         Wed, 21 Feb 1996 21:14:38 -0500
> From: "Dr Martin G. Keeney" <[log in to unmask]>
> Subject:      H-L poll correction
>
> TADPOLL/TADRATE                    Februry 21, 1996 |
> TEAM  RECORD    |  H-L   |  TADPOLL   |  TADRATE    | RPI RANK
>       W--L--T   | New Prv| New Prv Pts| New Prv Pts |
> BosU 24  3  3   |  2   2 |  2   2  70 |  2   3  209 | 1
> Colo 26  3  4   |  1   1 |  1   1  75 |  1   1  210 | 2
> Minn 25  7  2   |  4   3 |  4   3  60 |  3   2  205 | 3
> WeMi 23  7  3   |  6   6 |  6   7  49 |  5   5  196 | 4
> MicS 26  8  0   |  5   5 |  5   5  55 |  6   8  187 | 5
> Mic  24  5  2   |  3   4 |  3   4  65 |  4   4  202 | 6
> LSSU 22  6  2   |  7   7 |  7   6  46 |  7   6  184 | 8
> Verm 18  5  4   |  9  11 |  9  11  33 | 10  11  166 | 9
> Denv 21 10  3   | 10   8 | 10   8  26 |  9   9  171 | 10
> Clks 19  7  2   | 11  13 | 11  13  22 | 11  10  165 | 11
> MasL 21  6  4   |  8   9 |  8   9  40 | 12  11  163 | 12
> BowG 20 11  1   | 14  14 | 16       2 | 13  13  156 | 13
> StLw 17  9  2   | 13  12 | 13  12  11 | 15  16  142 | 14
> Corn 14  7  4   | 15  17 | 16       2 | 19  24  123 | 15
 
based on glen's numbers and the RPI numbers, I've speculated
who would be in the tournament and how they would be seeded.
first, i eliminated maine.   Now the obvious seeds are
 
 
        west            east
1       CC              BU
2       minnesota       vermont
3       western mich    clarkson
4       mich state      lowell
5       mich            st. lawrence
6       lssu            cornell
7       denver
8       bowling green
 
I really think cornell is out and the final spot is then a tossup
between bowling green and st. lawrence
 
so i now have
        west            east
1       CC              BU
2       minnesota       vermont
3       western mich    clarkson
4       mich state      lowell
5       mich            st. lawrence/bowling green
6       lssu
7       denver
 
now somebody from the west goes east to do a 6/6
it will be either
        1 of minn or western mich with a bye
or
        denver
 
so i now have            either      |        or
        west            east         |  west            east
1       CC              BU           |  CC              BU
2       minn/wstrn      minn/wstrn   |  minn            vermont
3       mich state      vermont      |  western         denver
4       mich            clarkson     |  mich st         clarkson
5       lssu            lowell       |  mich            lowell
6       denver          stl/bg       |  lssu            stl/bg
                                     |
now the crossover is done to give us |
        west            east         |  west            east
1       CC              BU           |  CC              BU
2       minn/wstrn      minn/wstrn   |  minn            vermont
3       mich state      vermont      |  western         denver
4       mich            clarkson     |  mich st         clarkson
5       lowell          lssu         |  lowell          mich
6       stl/bg          denver       |  stl/bg          lssu
                                     |
finally the reseed                   |
        west            east         |  west            east
1       CC              BU           |  CC              BU
2       minn/wstrn      minn/wstrn   |  minn            mich
3       mich state      lssu         |  western         lssu
4       mich            vermont      |  mich st         vermont
5       lowell          denver       |  lowell          denver
6       stl/bg          clarkson     |  stl/bg          clarkson
                                     |
and the brackets then are....        |
        mich            vermont      |  msu             vermont
        lowell          denver       |  lowell          denver
           CC             BU         |     CC              BU
        mich st         lssu         |  wstrn           lssu
        stl/bg          clarkson     |  stl/bg          clarkson
           minn/wst       minn/wst   |     minn            mich
 
The major differences are whether michigan or western gets the 4th bye
whether michigan or michigan state gets in the CC bracket and
who's bracketed against stl/bg
 
now the imponderables.  If another team must be included (for
tourney win) then we lose the winner between st.lawrence and bowling
green.
 
If two or three tourney winners must be inluded then it is a tossup
between denver, clarkson, and lowell.
 
As of now, I see as rock solid          precarious
WCHA:   cc and minnesota                denver
CCHA:   western, msu, mich, lssu        bg
HE      BU                              lowell
ECAC    vermont                         clarkson, st. lawrence
 
charlie shub   University of Colorado at Colorado Springs
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