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From:
Bill Fenwick <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Bill Fenwick <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Mon, 19 Mar 2001 13:14:15 -0500
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Now that all the conference tournaments are out of the way, it's time to
announce the winners of the Pick the Post-Season Tournaments contests.  For
Contest #1, in which the later rounds were weighted more than the earlier
ones, the overall winner is...

     Iyer Venkatesan

who swamped the competition with a total of 227 points, 23 ahead of the
runner-up, the CHODR ratings.  Iyer's incredible prognosticating ability, keen
college hockey acumen, and amazing grasp of the vagaries of tournament play
give us all an ideal to aspire to -- yeah, yeah, I think it was pure luck too,
but I wound up 78 points behind, so I have to be nice :-)

As for the individual conference winners...

Jennifer Iwen took the top spot in the ECAC with 46 points.

Iyer Venkatesan won a close race in Hockey East with a perfect 48 points.

Thomas Bednarek nudged out a number of runners-up in the CCHA with a score of
48 points.

In a man-vs-machine showdown (well, man-vs-mathematical-formula, anyway) in
the WCHA, Charlie Shub and the CHODR rating tied for first with 54 points
each, and Charlie won the first tiebreaker (championship game score
prediction), coming three points closer to the actual score than CHODR did.

Iyer Venkatesan, James O. Edwards, and CHODR all picked the MAAC perfectly to
finish in a three-way tie for the top spot with 44 points, and Iyer took the
honors with the closest predicted score in the first tiebreaker.

From last week's update, Andrew Christianson finished atop the CHA with a
score of 36 points.

Complete scoring results are below.  Congratulations to all the winners, and
thanks again to all those who participated.

Tiebreaker notes:  The first tiebreaker was the difference between your
predicted championship-game score and the actual score.  Thus, if you picked
the score of the ECAC championship game (actually 3-1) to be 4-2, you would
get two points; if you picked 5-0, you would get three points; and if you
picked 2-1, you would get one point.  Obviously, the lower point score the
better.

The second tiebreaker was the difference between your predicted total of goals
scored in the tournament and the actual number.  Again, the lower the point
total the better.

As far as tiebreakers that were actually needed:

For the WCHA, the championship game score was 6-5.
For the MAAC, the championship game score was 6-5.

The USCHO prognosticators' numbers are included below, as are the "Higher
Seed" picks showing what would have happened if the higher seed for each game
had been picked to win.


Overall
NAME                   TOTAL
Iyer Venkatesan         227
CHODR (Robin Lock)      204
Andrew Christianson     201
Glen Keeney             193
Anthony R. Mastantuoni  192
Andrew Weise            191
James O. Edwards        189
Charlie Shub            186
Troy D. Mills           176
Greg Berge              175
Wayne Smith (RHEAL)     172
Dan Zeuske              170
Robert Foulis           169
Ross Belfiori           168
Deron Treadwell         165
Brad Edward Toberman    165
Thomas Bednarek         163
Robin Lock              161
Brian Wallace           157
David Morgenstern       155
Carol Belfiori          155
Nathan Hampton          153
Mark Lewin              152
Christian Danish        151
Kate Belfiori           149
Dave Belfiori           149
Bill Fenwick            149
Adam Feuerstein         146
Jennifer Iwen           145
Tony Buffa              110
Kelly Maly               93

* USCHO                 198
Higher Seed             192

* Did not submit predictions for all conference tournaments


ECAC                            Hockey East
NAME                   TOTAL    NAME                   TOTAL
Jennifer Iwen           46      Iyer Venkatesan         48
Dave Belfiori           36      Anthony R. Mastantuoni  47
Kate Belfiori           35      Robert Foulis           44
Andrew Christianson     35      Andrew Christianson     44
Iyer Venkatesan         35      Andrew Weise            44
Anthony R. Mastantuoni  35      David Morgenstern       43
Thomas Bednarek         34      Carol Belfiori          43
Brian Wallace           30      Brad Edward Toberman    39
Adam Feuerstein         27      Ross Belfiori           36
Andrew Weise            26      Greg Berge              36
Troy D. Mills           24      Wayne Smith (RHEAL)     36
Robin Lock              23      CHODR (Robin Lock)      36
Glen Keeney             23      Glen Keeney             35
Mark Lewin              23      Charlie Shub            35
James O. Edwards        22      Dave Belfiori           35
Greg Berge              21      James O. Edwards        34
Deron Treadwell         19      Troy D. Mills           32
Wayne Smith (RHEAL)     18      Dan Zeuske              31
Dan Zeuske              18      Mark Lewin              28
Charlie Shub            18      Brian Wallace           27
Ross Belfiori           18      Adam Feuerstein         20
Carol Belfiori          16      Robin Lock              20
Bill Fenwick            15      Deron Treadwell         20
CHODR (Robin Lock)      11      Thomas Bednarek         19
Tony Buffa              11      Kelly Maly              16
David Morgenstern       10      Tony Buffa              15
Christian Danish        10      Jennifer Iwen           12
Nathan Hampton           7      Christian Danish        12
Kelly Maly               7      Nathan Hampton          12
Brad Edward Toberman     7      Bill Fenwick            11
Robert Foulis            6      Kate Belfiori            8

USCHO                   38      USCHO                   36
Higher Seed             28      Higher Seed             35


CCHA                            WCHA                         Tiebreaker 1
NAME                   TOTAL    NAME                   TOTAL  Score Pts
Thomas Bednarek         48      Charlie Shub            54     6-4   1
James O. Edwards        47      CHODR (Robin Lock)      54     4-3   4
CHODR (Robin Lock)      47      Iyer Venkatesan         50
Adam Feuerstein         47      Glen Keeney             50
Nathan Hampton          47      Nathan Hampton          50
Greg Berge              47      Deron Treadwell         49
Charlie Shub            47      Bill Fenwick            45
Troy D. Mills           47      Christian Danish        43
Robin Lock              44      Dan Zeuske              41
Deron Treadwell         44      Jennifer Iwen           39
Robert Foulis           44      Wayne Smith (RHEAL)     38
David Morgenstern       44      Robin Lock              38
Andrew Weise            44      Brad Edward Toberman    38
Andrew Christianson     44      Brian Wallace           37
Wayne Smith (RHEAL)     43      Ross Belfiori           37
Anthony R. Mastantuoni  43      James O. Edwards        34
Carol Belfiori          40      Kate Belfiori           30
Christian Danish        40      Troy D. Mills           27
Glen Keeney             40      Andrew Weise            27
Dan Zeuske              40      Carol Belfiori          27
Brad Edward Toberman    36      Adam Feuerstein         26
Mark Lewin              35      David Morgenstern       25
Brian Wallace           35      Greg Berge              25
Kate Belfiori           32      Thomas Bednarek         25
Ross Belfiori           32      Robert Foulis           25
Iyer Venkatesan         30      Andrew Christianson     25
Tony Buffa              28      Anthony R. Mastantuoni  22
Dave Belfiori           27      Mark Lewin              21
Bill Fenwick            24      Tony Buffa              19
Jennifer Iwen           22      Dave Belfiori           19
Kelly Maly              20      Kelly Maly              17

USCHO                   46      USCHO                   48
Higher Seed             38      Higher Seed             39


MAAC                         Tiebreaker 1
NAME                   TOTAL  Score Pts
Iyer Venkatesan         44     5-2   4
CHODR (Robin Lock)      44     3-2   6
James O. Edwards        44     3-1   7
Robert Foulis           38
Greg Berge              38
Andrew Weise            38
Troy D. Mills           38
Kate Belfiori           36
Ross Belfiori           33
Anthony R. Mastantuoni  33
Bill Fenwick            30
Robin Lock              28
Dan Zeuske              28
Tony Buffa              25
Deron Treadwell         25
Brad Edward Toberman    25
Mark Lewin              25
Wayne Smith (RHEAL)     25
Glen Keeney             25
David Morgenstern       25
Nathan Hampton          25
Kelly Maly              25
Christian Danish        22
Brian Wallace           20
Dave Belfiori           20
Carol Belfiori          17
Andrew Christianson     17
Thomas Bednarek         17
Jennifer Iwen           14
Adam Feuerstein         14
Charlie Shub            12

USCHO                   30
Higher Seed             44


--
Bill Fenwick                            Email:  [log in to unmask]
Digicomp Research                       Voice:  (607) 273-5900 ext 32

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