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| Date: | Mon, 25 Jan 1999 15:13:01 -0600 |
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This is why there is never a good answer to the age old argument
Coaches/Press Polls Vs. Computer Generated Rankings
Yes Press/Coaches Polls can be subjective and biased, but can they be
buffaloed by pure numbers the way a computer can be.
I am sure that in time the MAAC will be a equal and competitive
conference as compared to the existing four. However as of today they
are light years away. To see teams from that conference ranked in the
top 10 and 20 is ludicrous. Their record, their opponents record and
their opponent opponents record is inbred, they only play each other
once you remove the games against DII and DIII opponents. Sure, some
have played existing DI teams, but I doubt the whole conference has
played 10 games total against teams from the existing four
conferences.
This poll reflects a statistical anomaly.
______________________________ Reply Separator _________________________________
Subject: Ratings Percentage Index as of Mon Jan 25 06:05:03 MST 1999
Author: [log in to unmask] at Internet-USA
Date: 1/25/99 12:44 PM
Estimated NCAA Division 1 Ice Hockey ratings percentage index
based on 529 games played through 01/24/1999
Game scores for this calculation provided by www.uscollegehockey.com
Software to perform the calculation developed by Charlie Shub
Weight 35% 50% 15%
G W L T win% rank opp% rank opp-opp Total
1 North Dakota 22 19- 2- 1 88.64 ( 1) 54.98 ( 6) 53.29 ( 1) 66.50
2 New Hampshire 24 19- 4- 1 81.25 ( 4) 51.93 (14) 52.17 ( 4) 62.23
3 Maine 22 16- 2- 4 81.82 ( 3) 49.75 (27) 51.92 ( 8) 61.30
4 Michigan State 25 18- 3- 4 80.00 ( 5) 47.54 (37) 52.09 ( 5) 59.58
5 Colorado College 26 17- 8- 1 67.31 ( 9) 56.41 ( 3) 50.97 (18) 59.41
6 Michigan 25 17- 5- 3 74.00 ( 6) 51.15 (20) 50.85 (20) 59.10
7 Boston College 24 14- 8- 2 62.50 (12) 56.12 ( 4) 52.53 ( 2) 57.82
8 Quinnipiac 13 10- 1- 2 84.62 ( 2) 37.95 (51) 45.74 (46) 55.45
9 Princeton 16 11- 4- 1 71.88 ( 8) 44.71 (43) 51.40 (11) 55.22
10 Clarkson 20 10- 9- 1 52.50 (22) 57.73 ( 2) 50.77 (21) 54.85
11 Notre Dame 24 14- 7- 3 64.58 (11) 48.69 (35) 51.93 ( 7) 54.74
12 Northern Michigan 26 15- 9- 2 61.54 (14) 51.05 (21) 51.08 (15) 54.73
13 Rensselaer 21 15- 5- 1 73.81 ( 7) 41.62 (48) 49.10 (38) 54.01
14 Denver 22 12- 9- 1 56.82 (15) 52.26 (13) 50.06 (29) 53.53
15 St Lawrence 22 12- 9- 1 56.82 (15) 51.48 (19) 51.54 ( 9) 53.36
16 Connecticut 15 9- 4- 2 66.67 (10) 46.01 (42) 44.42 (47) 53.00
17 Colgate 20 11- 6- 3 62.50 (12) 46.67 (38) 49.68 (32) 52.66
18 Ohio State 27 13-10- 4 55.56 (19) 50.95 (22) 51.32 (13) 52.62
19 Cornell 17 8- 6- 3 55.88 (18) 50.70 (24) 49.61 (33) 52.35
20 Providence 23 13-10- 0 56.52 (17) 49.49 (29) 51.42 (10) 52.24
21 Bowling Green 23 10-10- 3 50.00 (24) 53.92 ( 7) 50.53 (23) 52.04
22 Ferris State 24 11- 9- 4 54.17 (20) 49.29 (30) 51.97 ( 6) 51.40
23 MSU-Mankato 20 8- 9- 3 47.50 (28) 53.53 ( 8) 50.16 (28) 50.91
24 Minnesota 26 7-13- 6 38.46 (37) 59.59 ( 1) 50.74 (22) 50.87
25 Mass Lowell 24 12-12- 0 50.00 (24) 50.12 (26) 51.04 (16) 50.22
26 Vermont 20 9-10- 1 47.50 (28) 50.93 (23) 49.86 (31) 49.57
27 St Cloud 24 12-11- 1 52.08 (23) 46.11 (41) 52.49 ( 3) 49.16
28 Niagara 17 8- 7- 2 52.94 (21) 46.26 (40) 48.82 (41) 48.98
29 Boston University 23 8-13- 2 39.13 (35) 55.06 ( 5) 50.90 (19) 48.86
30 Northeastern 23 8-12- 3 41.30 (31) 53.14 (10) 51.13 (14) 48.70
31 Merrimack 23 9-13- 1 41.30 (31) 51.89 (17) 50.19 (27) 47.93
32 Dartmouth 16 6- 9- 1 40.62 (33) 51.53 (18) 48.72 (42) 47.29
33 Harvard 16 6- 9- 1 40.62 (33) 48.49 (36) 49.88 (30) 45.95
34 Wisconsin 23 8-13- 2 39.13 (35) 49.23 (31) 49.51 (34) 45.73
35 Alaska-Anchorage 24 11-11- 2 50.00 (24) 40.95 (50) 51.34 (12) 45.68
36 Iona 13 6- 6- 1 50.00 (24) 42.31 (46) 43.95 (49) 45.25
37 Yale 17 6-10- 1 38.24 (38) 48.90 (33) 49.33 (36) 45.23
38 Mass Amherst 22 6-14- 2 31.82 (41) 52.69 (12) 50.98 (17) 45.13
39 Miami 26 6-16- 4 30.77 (43) 51.93 (15) 50.33 (25) 44.28
40 Brown 16 3- 8- 5 34.38 (40) 49.72 (28) 49.08 (39) 44.25
41 Lake Superior 24 5-16- 3 27.08 (46) 53.35 ( 9) 50.49 (24) 43.73
42 Alaska-Fairbanks 22 6-16- 0 27.27 (45) 53.07 (11) 49.33 (35) 43.48
43 Michigan Tech 24 7-16- 1 31.25 (42) 50.26 (25) 49.22 (37) 43.45
44 Canisius 14 2- 8- 4 28.57 (44) 51.89 (16) 42.96 (51) 42.39
45 Holy Cross 14 5- 7- 2 42.86 (30) 41.34 (49) 44.06 (48) 42.28
46 Air Force 12 4- 7- 1 37.50 (39) 43.27 (45) 46.86 (44) 41.79
47 Western Michigan 23 3-14- 6 26.09 (48) 49.01 (32) 50.22 (26) 41.17
48 Minnesota-Duluth 26 6-18- 2 26.92 (47) 46.65 (39) 48.98 (40) 40.10
49 Union 20 3-15- 2 20.00 (49) 48.86 (34) 47.82 (43) 38.60
50 Army 13 2-11- 0 15.38 (50) 44.38 (44) 46.27 (45) 34.52
51 Fairfield 12 0-12- 0 0.00 (51) 41.67 (47) 43.81 (50) 27.41
Average 49.18 49.54 49.66 49.43
Standard Deviation 18.89 4.54 2.43 7.19
range 0.00 37.95 42.96
to 88.64 59.59 53.29
This information is freely available for personal use.
Copyright 1999 Charlie Shub.
Republication without permission is prohibited.
The total is calculated by the Rating Percentage Index method,
used as a tool by the NCAA in selecting teams for national
collegiate tournaments in several sports. Ratings are derived
by summing each team's winning percentage, the average winning
percentage of its opponents, and the average winning percentage
of its opponents' opponents, multiplied by the given weights.
Factors such as importance of game, margin of victory, or home
ice are not included in the calculations.
charlie shub University of Colorado at Colorado Springs
[log in to unmask] -or- [log in to unmask] -or- [log in to unmask]
(719) 262-3492 (fax) 262-3369 http://www.cs.uccs.edu/~cdash
HOCKEY-L is for discussion of college ice hockey; send information to
[log in to unmask], The College Hockey Information List.
HOCKEY-L is for discussion of college ice hockey; send information to
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