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Subject:
From:
Jayson Moy <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Jayson Moy <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Thu, 2 Jan 1997 03:05:36 +0000
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Let's throw out some stats for the ECAC dominance over HE this season
and see if there is anything that can shed some light on this years
ECAC series win.
 
And remember, this is all hypothetical, and this is not a who's
better and who's not debate, this is just some numbers to see if it
can stimulate a possible reason.  Feel free to point out anything and
criticize it, or better yet, take the analysis one step further.
 
ECAC vs. HE Overall Record:
 
26-10-2
 
Let's break that down shall we?
 
Vs. HE
Cornell         2-0-0   W:Prov, Merr
Princeton                         1-1-0 W:UMA   L:Maine
Harvard         1-1-0   W:NE   L: BU
RPI             3-2-1   W:Merr,UMA,NE   L:BU,UML  T:NE
Colgate         4-2-0   W:UNH,Prov(2),Merr  L:Merr,Maine
Clarkson                           3-0-0        W:BC(2), BU
St. Lawrence    2-1-0   W:NE,BU   L:BC
Yale            0-0-1   T:BU
Union           1-2-0   W:Prov   L:Merr,UNH
Dartmouth       4-0-0   W:Merr(2),UML,UMA
Vermont                    5-1-0        W:UNH,BU,UMA,Prov,UML  L:UNH
Brown           0-0-0
 
Vs. ECAC
UNH             2-2-0   W:Vt,Union   L:Vt,Colg
BU              2-3-1   W:RPI,Harv   L:Vt,Clark,SLU  T: Yale
UML             1-2-0   W:RPI    L:Vt,Dart
BC              1-2-0   W:SLU   L: Clark(2)
Prov            0-5-0   L:Union, Corn,Colg(2), Vt
UMA             0-4-0   L:RPI,Prin,Vt,Dart
Maine           2-0-0   W:Prin,Colg
Northeastern    0-3-1   L:RPI,Harv,SLU  T:RPI
Merrimack                          2-5-0        W:Union,Colg  L:Colg,RPI,Dart(2),Cornell
 
Let's take it a step further.  I am going to split the two conferences
into two for both the ECAC and for Hockey East.  Let's do this by
total wins.  Not to disrepect Union, but I am going to move them to
the second half of the ECAC, even though they have eight wins, enough
to wualify for the first half.  So I have split it this way:
 
ECAC:
1) Cornell, Princeton, Vermont, RPI, Colgate, Clarkson
2) SLU, Union, Dartmouth,Harvard, Yale, Brown
 
Hockey East:
1) UNH, BU, Lowell, Maine
2) Providence, Amherst, Boston College, Merrimack, Northeastern
 
Let's do a comparison of:
ECAC(1) vs. HE(1)
ECAC(1) vs. HE(2)
ECAC(2) vs. HE(1)
ECAC(2) vs. HE(2)
 
ECAC(1) vs. HE(1):      5-4-0
ECAC(1) vs. HE(2):      13-2-1
ECAC(2) vs. HE(1):      2-2-1
ECAC(2) vs. HE(2):      6-2-0
 
What can one draw from this analysis?
 
Well, it seems to me that one possible reason for the ECAC winning the
season series is that the ECAC is beating up on the second half of
Hockey East.
 
Against the top half of HE, the ECAC is only 7-6-1, while against the
other half, it is 19-4-1.
 
So when you pit the "powers" of each conference against each other,
you have it even.  When you pit the "weak sisters" against each other,
the ECAC wins the series.  When you have the "powers" play the "weak
sisters", the ECAC "powers" dominate, and the Hockey East "powers" are
even.
 
So does this mean that the "powers" of each conference are equal,
while the "weak sisters" of the ECAC could be "powers", and the "weak
sisters" of Hockey East are really "weak"?
 
Of course, this could all be mumbo jumbo because of the line that I
have drawn.  Or is it?
 
****************************************************************************************
  Jayson Moy  RPI '89 '93     * One of the Voices of Rensselaer Engineer
  [log in to unmask]                      * Hockey, Football, Baseball and Basketball
  The "Asian Invasion"          * on 91.5FM  WRPI, Troy       *EASM*
****************************************************************************************
  Check out the WRPI Sports Home Page:
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  ECAC Correspondent for U.S. College Hockey Online
           http://www.uscollegehockey.com
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